THERMAL SCIENCE

International Scientific Journal

Elis Sutlović

,

Snježana Čujić Ćoko

,

Ivan Medić

CHARACTERISTICS OF BASIN INFLOWS A STATISTICAL ANALYSIS FOR LONG-TERM/MID-TERM HYDROTHERMAL SCHEDULING

ABSTRACT
The presented paper focuses on the characteristics of reservoir inflows and the appropriate inflow model for long-term/mid-term hydrothermal scheduling. The goal was to find the type of distribution that best fits the observed series of monthly and weekly average inflows in most cases for a model which considers the inflows as independent random variables without time correlation. Also, the objective was to explore the correlation between the inflows during time periods (for weekly and monthly intervals, respectively), and to investigate whether the more complex model of reservoir inflow as a dependent random variable is advisable for optimal long-term/mid-term hydrothermal scheduling. Differences in the characteristics of monthly and weekly inflows, which have been noticed during the analysis, are discussed. Numerical results are presented.
KEYWORDS
power system planning, inflow models, statistical analysis, long-term/mid-term hydrothermal scheduling
PAPER SUBMITTED: 2013-11-28
PAPER REVISED: 2014-03-29
PAPER ACCEPTED: 2014-05-05
PUBLISHED ONLINE: 2014-09-06
DOI REFERENCE: https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI1403799S
CITATION EXPORT: view in browser or download as text file
THERMAL SCIENCE YEAR 2014, VOLUME 18, ISSUE Issue 3, PAGES [799 - 809]
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Characteristics of basin inflows a statistical analysis for long-term/mid-term hydrothermal scheduling

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