ABSTRACT
There is a range of modern approaches and models in literature for the evaluation and determination of energy security, which are based on different parameters and indicators. For most of them, a common characteristic is emphasizing the availability of energy, as an important dimension for ensuring energy security. In this paper, concise overview of Serbian energy sectors is given and appropriate energy indicators are defined and determined. Selected indicators provide insight into the main components that characterize availability - security of supply, self-sufficiency, diversification of energy sources, level of renewable energy use and technological maturity. Besides calculation of energy indicators, the aim is to investigate and establish the relationships among components of availability of energy in Serbia, and to provide some recommendations for the policy makers to develop efficacious measures for enhancing energy security. Therefore Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) methodology is applied to analyze collected data, to reveal cause - effect relationships, and to prioritize components of availability mutually. Conclusion is that the main activities in Serbian energy sector should be directed to improvement of energy efficiency, increase the use of renewable energy sources and diversification of energy sources and energy imports directions.
KEYWORDS
PAPER SUBMITTED: 2016-09-23
PAPER REVISED: 2016-11-04
PAPER ACCEPTED: 2016-11-06
PUBLISHED ONLINE: 2016-12-03
THERMAL SCIENCE YEAR
2017, VOLUME
21, ISSUE
Issue 1, PAGES [323 - 333]
- Ren, J. and Sovacool, B. K., Quantifying, measuring, and strategizing energy security: Determining the most meaningful dimensions and metrics, Energy, 76 (2014), pp. 838-849
- Cherp, A. and Jewell, J., The concept of energy security: Beyond the four As, Energy Policy, 75 (2014), pp. 415-421
- Kruyt, B. et al., Indicators for energy security, Energy Policy, 37 (2009), pp. 2166-2181
- ***, Statistics, International Energy Agency, www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/WEO_2014_ES_English_WEB.pdf
- Yergin, D., Ensuring Energy Security, Foreign Affairs, 85 (2006), 2, pp. 69 - 82
- Brown, M. A. et al., Forty years of energy security trends: A comparative assessment of 22 industrialized countries, Energy Research & Social Science, 4 (2014), pp. 64-77
- ***, A quest for energy security in the 21st century, 2007, Asia Pacific Energy Research Centre, aperc.ieej.or.jp/file/2010/9/26/APERC_2007_A_Quest_for_Energy_Security.pdf,
- ***, Energy Indicators for Sustainable Development: Guidelines and Methodologies, 2005,International Atomic Energy Agency, www-pub.iaea.org/MTCD/publications/PDF/Pub1222_web.pdf
- ***, Energy Balance of the Republic of Serbia in 2014 (in Serbian)., Statistical Office of the Republic of Serbia, webrzs.stat.gov.rs/WebSite/repository/documents/00/02/03/47/SB-607-BILTEN_ENERGETIKE_2014.pdf
- ***, Progress Report on Implementation of the National Renewable Energy Action Plan of the Republic of Serbia (in Serbian), 2014, Ministry of Mining and Energy of the Republic of Serbia, www.mre.gov.rs/doc/efikasnost-izvori/Progress%20Report%20on%20NREAP%20_SERBIA%202014_ENG_FINAL.pdf?uri=CELEX:32009L0028
- ***, Serbia 2014 - Data, World Bank, data.worldbank.org/country/serbia
- ***, Storage, Public Enterprise Transnafta, www.transnafta.rs/en/home/dev_projects/storage/
- ***, Underground Storage Banatski Dvor (in Serbian), Public Enterprise Srbijagas, www.srbijagas.co.rs/projekti/podzemno-skladiste-gasa-banatski-dvor-sa-gasovodom.86.html
- ***, Directive 2009/119/EC, 2009, European Community, eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:L:2009:265:0009:0023:EN:PDF
- ***, Energy Sector Development Strategy of the Republic of Serbia for the period by 2025 with projections by 2030 (in Serbian), 2016, Ministry of Mining and Energy of the Republic of Serbia, mre.gov.rs/doc/efikasnost-izvori/23.06.02016%20ENERGY%20SECTOR%20DEVELOPMENT%20STRATEGY%20OF%20THE%20REPUBLIC%20OF%20SERBIA.pdf
- Beals, M. et al., Diversity indices: Shannon's H and E, The Institute for Environmental Modeling, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, USA, 2000
- ***, UK Energy Sector Indicators 2012, Department of energy & climate change UK, www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/65900/6801-uk-energy-sector-indicators-2012.pdf
- ***, National Renewable Energy Action Plan of the Republic of Serbia (in Serbian), 2013, Ministry of Mining and Energy of the Republic of Serbia, www.pks.rs/SADRZAJ/Files/Energetika/Nacionali%20akcioni%20plan%20za%20obnovljive%20izvore%e20energije%20NAPOIE.pdf
- ***, Energy balance sheets 2014 Data, European Union, ec.europa.eu/eurostat/documents/3217494/7571929/KS-EN-16-001-EN-N.pdf/28165740-1051-49ea-83a3-a2a51c7ad304
- Saaty, T., Decision making with the analytic hierarchy process, International Journal of Services Sciences, 1 (2008), 1, pp. 83 - 98
- Ishizaka, A., Clusters and pivots for evaluating a large number of alternatives in AHP, Pesquisa Operacional, 32 (2012), 1, pp.87 - 102