THERMAL SCIENCE

International Scientific Journal

Milivoj B. Gavrilov

,

Slobodan B. Marković

,

Ali Jarad

,

Vanja M. Korać

THE ANALYSIS OF TEMPERATURE TRENDS IN VOJVODINA (SERBIA) FROM 1949 TO 2006

ABSTRACT
The annual and seasonal trends of surface air temperatures were analyzed on the territory of Vojvodina, north Serbia, using observed data from 10 meteorological stations during 1949-2006. Of the 15 analyzed time series statistically significant positive trends were found in only 2 series. In the remaining 13 series were found trends with reduced statistical confidence. In general, the behavior of temperature could be considered rather non-changeable, than changeable. Quasi-changeable temperatures from 1949 to 2006 are surprisingly similar to the last glacial July paleo-temperatures. It seems that Vojvodina is a territory with more stable climate parameters than other regions.
KEYWORDS
temperature trends, Mann-Kendall test, climate change, Vojvodina region
PAPER SUBMITTED: 2015-02-07
PAPER REVISED: 2015-04-09
PAPER ACCEPTED: 2015-04-14
PUBLISHED ONLINE: 2015-05-03
DOI REFERENCE: https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150207062G
CITATION EXPORT: view in browser or download as text file
THERMAL SCIENCE YEAR 2015, VOLUME 19, ISSUE Supplement 2, PAGES [S339 - S350]
REFERENCES
  1. Contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, (Ed. Solomon, S., et al.), Cambridge University Press, UK, 2007
  2. Klein Tank, A.M.G., et al., Daily dataset of 20th-century surface air temperature and precipitation series for the European Climate Assessment. International Journal of Climatology, 22 (2002), 12, pp. 1441-1453
  3. Unkašević, M., et al., Trends in extreme summer temperatures at Belgrade, Theoretical and Applied Climatology 82 (2005), 3-4, pp. 99-205
  4. Unkašević, M., Tošić, I., Changes in the extreme daily winter and summer temperatures at Belgrade, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 95 (2009), 1-2, pp. 239-244
  5. Unkašević, M., Tošić, I., Trends in temperature indices over Serbia: relationships to large-scale circulation patterns, International Journal of Climatology, 33 (2013), 15, pp. 3152-3161
  6. Unkašević, M., Tošić, I., An analysis of heat waves in Serbia, Global and Planetary Change, 65 (2009), 1-2, pp. 17-26
  7. Gavrilov, M.B., et al., Influence of Hail Suppression on the Hail Trend in Serbia, Physical Geography, 31 (2010), 5, pp. 441-454
  8. Gavrilov, M.B., et al., Influence of Hail Suppression on the Hail Trend in Vojvodina, Serbia. Geographica Pannonica, 15 (2011), 22, pp. 36-41
  9. Hrnjak, I., et al., Aridity in Vojvodina, Serbia, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 115 (2014), 1-2, pp. 323-332
  10. Tošić, I., et al., Annual and seasonal variability of precipitation in Vojvodina, Serbia, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 117 (2014), 1-2, pp. 331-341
  11. Marković, S.B., et al., The last million years recorded at the Stari Slankamen loess-palaeosol sequence: revised chronostratigraphy and long-term environmental trends, Quaternary Science Reviews 30 (2011), 910, pp. 1142-1154
  12. Marković, S.B., et al., Relating the Astronomical Timescale to the Loess-Paleosol Sequences in Vojvodina, Northern Serbia (Ed. Berger, A., et al.), Springer-Verlag, Vienna, 2012, pp. 65-78
  13. ***, Republic Hydrometeorological Service of Serbia, www.hidmet.gov.rs/
  14. ***, World Meteorological Organization, Technical Regulations, Volume I: General Meteorological Standards and Recommended Practices. Documents No. 2. Geneva, Switzerland
  15. Alexandersson, H., A homogeneity test applied to precipitation data, Journal of Climatology, 6 (1986), 6, pp. 661-675
  16. Draper, N.R., Smith, H., Applied Regression Analysis, Wiley, New York, 1966
  17. Gilbert, R.O., Statistical Methods for Environmental Pollution Monitoring, Wiley, New York, USA, 1987
  18. Gavrilov, M.B., et al., The assessment of mean annual temperature trends using the Mann-Kendall test in the territory of Kosovo. Acta Geographica Slovenica, (2015) (in press)
  19. Feidas, H., et al., Trend analysis of air temperature time series in Greece and their relationship with circulation using surface and satellite data: 1955-2001. Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 79 (2004), 3-4, 185-208
  20. Karmeshu, N., Trend Detection in Annual Temperature & Precipitation using the Mann Kendall Test - A Case Study to Assess Climate Change on Select States in the Northeastern United States, Master's thesis, University of Pennsylvania, USA, 2012
  21. ***, www.xlstat.com/en/
  22. ***, Climate Research Unit, Global average temperature change 1856-2003, www.cru.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/temperature/
  23. Brázdil, R., et al., Trends of maximum and minimum daily temperatures in central and southeastern Europe. International Journal of Climatology, 16 (1996), 7, pp. 765-782
  24. Marković, S.B., et al., Late Pleistocene loess-paleosol sequences in the Vojvodina region, North Serbia. Journal of Quaternary Science, 23 (2008), 1, 73-84
  25. Vandenberghe, J., Nugteren, G., Rapid changes in loess successions. Global and Planetary Change, 28 (2001), 1-4, pp. 1-9
  26. Bond, G., et al., Correlations between climate records from North Atlantic sediments and Greenland ice. Nature, 365 (1993), pp. 143-147
  27. Sümegi, P., Comparative palaeoecological and stratigraphical valuation of the NE Hungarian loess-areas. PhD thesis, Kossuth University, Debrecen, Hungary (in Hungarian), 1996
  28. Marković, S.B., et al., Malacological and sedimentological evidence for "warm" climate from the Irig loess sequence, Vojvodina, Serbia. Geophysics, Geochemistry and Geosystems, 8 (2007), pp. 1-12
  29. Türkeş, M., et al., Re-evaluation of trends and changes in mean, maximum and minimum temperatures of Turkey for the period 1929-1999. International Journal of Climatology, 22 (2002), 8, pp. 947-977
PDF VERSION [DOWNLOAD]
The analysis of temperature trends in Vojvodina (Serbia) from 1949 to 2006

© 2024 Society of Thermal Engineers of Serbia. Published by the Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences, National Institute of the Republic of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International licence