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The aim of this paper is to analyze the expansion of the thermal generation in the long-term for the Western Balkan region. This paper concentrates on the estimation of long-term energy data for the (Western) Balkan countries. The process was implemented by the use of the PRIMES model in order to perform simulations for the future growth of electricity supply and demand in the region. Two scenarios were applied. The first (Baseline) scenario was based on the current energy path of each country and on the absence of any specific energy policy like tax emissions or renewable subsidies. The second (Reference) scenario was practically a series of “environmental” sub-scenarios, based on specific energy subsidy policy applied to the electricity generated by renewable sources. Results were given for the period between 2015 and 2050 in 5-year steps and conclusions were made for the whole region. As such, the results can feed up trials of energy planning referring to the future energy condition.
PAPER REVISED: 2014-06-14
PAPER ACCEPTED: 2014-07-30
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THERMAL SCIENCE YEAR 2015, VOLUME 19, ISSUE Issue 2, PAGES [357 - 370]
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© 2023 Society of Thermal Engineers of Serbia. Published by the Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences, National Institute of the Republic of Serbia, Belgrade, Serbia. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International licence