THERMAL SCIENCE

International Scientific Journal

Thermal Science - Online First

online first only

Development of a national index for the purpose of forest fire risk assessments on the example of southern Serbia

ABSTRACT
The paper presents the results on the study of the possible application of the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index (FWI) and the Modified Angstrom Index (Mod Ang) in forest fire risk assessments. The daily values of these indices for the period 2005-2015 were related to the forest fire database. It was found that there is a relatively weak to moderate correlation between forest fires and the values of the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index (FWI). In order to improve the wildfire risk assessments (including forest fires), the index was modified. The modified index has a significantly greater correlation with the actual events of forest fires and consequently a much wider application in southern Serbia. The modified index can be of great importance in the future concepts of forest fire risk management.
KEYWORDS
PAPER SUBMITTED: 2019-04-12
PAPER REVISED: 2019-05-24
PAPER ACCEPTED: 2019-05-31
PUBLISHED ONLINE: 2019-06-08
DOI REFERENCE: https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI190412276R
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