TY - JOUR
TI - Application of adaptive neuro-fuzzy interference system models for prediction of forest fires in the usa on the basis of solar activity
AU - Radovanović Milan M
AU - Vyklyuk Yaroslav
AU - Milenković Milan
AU - Vuković Darko B
AU - Matsiuk Nataliya
JN - Thermal Science
PY - 2015
VL - 19
IS - 5
SP - 1649
EP - 1661
PT - Article
AB - In this research we search for a functional dependence between the occurrence  of forest fires in the USA and the factors which characterize the solar  activity. For this purpose we used several methods (R/S analysis, Hurst  index) to establish potential links between the influx of some parameters  from the sun and the occurrence of forest fires with lag of several days. We  found evidence for a connection and developed a prognostic scenario based on  the Adaptive neuro-fuzzy interference system (ANFIS) technique. This scenario  allows the prediction between 79-93% of forest fires. [Projekat Ministarstva  nauke Republike Srbije, br. III47007]