TY - JOUR
TI - Vulnerability of assessing water resources by the improved set pair analysis
AU - Yang Xiao-Hua
AU - He Jun
AU - Di Cong-Li
AU - Li Jian-Qiang
JN - Thermal Science
PY - 2014
VL - 18
IS - 5
SP - 1531
EP - 1535
PT - Article
AB - Climate change has tremendously changed the hydrological processes with  global warming. There are many uncertainties in assessing water resources  vulnerability. To assess the water resources vulnerability rationally under  climate change, an improved set pair analysis model is established, in which  set pair analysis theory is introduced and the weights are determined by the  analytic hierarchy process method. The index systems and criteria of water  resources vulnerability assessment in terms of water cycle, socio-economy,  and ecological environment are established based on the analysis of  sensibility and adaptability. Improved set pair analysis model is used to  assess water resource vulnerability in Ningxia with twelve indexes under four  kinds of future climate scenarios. Certain and uncertain information quantity  of water resource vulnerability is calculated by connection numbers in the  improved set pair analysis model. Results show that Ningxia is higher  vulnerability under climate change scenarios. Improved set pair analysis  model can fully take advantage of certain and uncertain knowledge, subjective  and objective information compared with fuzzy assessment model and artificial  neural network model. The improved set pair analysis is an extension to the  vulnerability assessment model of water resources system.