TY - JOUR
TI - A realistic EU vision of a lignite-based energy system in transition: Case study of Serbia
AU - Batas Bjelić Ilija R
AU - Rajaković Nikola
AU - Ćosić Boris
AU - Duić Neven
JN - Thermal Science
PY - 2015
VL - 19
IS - 2
SP - 371
EP - 382
PT - Article
AB - Several Contracting Parties to the Treaty establishing the Energy Community  of the South East Europe, currently in energy transition, have electricity  production dominantly based on lignite which contrasts their new reality.  Planning approach to designing a new feasible energy policy is presented in  this paper. This novel approach in using EnergyPLAN tool stems from analysis  of market operation of lignite thermal power plants on hourly basis, and  quantification of the feasibility of the energy policy and its alignment with  EU vision, and is presented in few scenarios. It was found out that the  Serbian energy system is highly sensitive to the electricity market and CO2  tax increase, because the marginal costs for lignite generation will increase  to more than 50€/MWh. Shifting in the merit order will be observed even at  lower CO2 tax levels, because of the intensity of the emission of the  electricity sector (calculated to be higher than 700gCO2/kWhel, according to  current energy policy). Based on the increased use of renewable energy  sources and more efficient energy conversion technologies, socio-economic and  energy policy feasibility would be increased, while long-term marginal costs  would be improved by 2€/MWh and emission intensity by 258 gCO2/kWhel,  compared to the current energy policy. These contributions, shown in the  Serbian case, are of general importance for other lignite dominated  Contracting Parties to Treaty establishing the Energy Community. [Projekat  Ministartsva nauke Republike Srbije, br. 42009]