TY - JOUR
TI - Evaluation of the climate change effects to the precipitation patterns in the selected Bosnia and Herzegovina cities
AU - Vučijak Branko
AU - Kupusović Tarik
AU - Midžić-Kurtagić Sanda
AU - Silajdžić Irem
AU - Ćerić Admir
JN - Thermal Science
PY - 2014
VL - 18
IS - 3
SP - 787
EP - 798
PT - Article
AB - Climate change effects are most often presented with ongoing and expected  temperature increase and sea level rise, but also stressed is the shift in  rainfall patterns, often difficult to distinguish because there is much  natural variability in precipitation. Statistical process control presents  application of statistical methods and procedures for monitoring and control  of the selected process. It aims to evaluate two potential sources of a  process variation: natural (common) and assignable (special) causes.  Statistical process control was recently used to evaluate climate  change/variation, using previous referential period as a benchmark for  addressing the present variations (e. g. in temperature or precipitation) as  being triggered by natural or special causes. This means that either  variation statistically should have been expected or the natural processes  “capability” changed and variations are higher than one could expect. This  paper analytically compares specific precipitation pattern changes in the  three cities of Bosnia and Herzegovina with different annual participation.  The comparison is based on the assessment of statistical behaviour of the  precipitation data during the periods of 1961-1990 and after 1990. Such  comparison allows preliminary conclusions on the studied geographical  distribution of specific climate change/variation impacts. The presented  results show that climate variations effect the precipitation patterns  change, but do not confirm that they are as high as they could not be  statistically expected, based on previous precipitation data.