THERMAL SCIENCE

International Scientific Journal

THE IMPACT OF MEDITERRANEAN OSCILLATIONS ON PERIODICITY AND TREND OF TEMPERATURE IN THE VALLEY OF THE NISAVA RIVER: A FOURIER AND WAVELET APPROACH

ABSTRACT
Periodicity of temperature on three stations in the Nisava River valley in period 1949-2014, has been analyzed by means of Fourier and wavelet transforms. Combined periodogram based on fast Fourier transform shows considerable similarity among individual series and identifies significant periods on 2.2, 2.7, 3.3, 5, 6-7, and 8.2 years in all datasets. Wavelet coherence analysis connects strongest 6-7 years spectral component to Mediterranean oscillation, starting in 1980s. Combined periodogram of Mediterranean oscillation index reveals 6-7 years spectral component as a dominant mode in period 1949-2014. Wavelet power spectra and partial combined periodograms show absence of 6-7 years component before 1975, after which this component becomes dominant in the spectrum. Consistency between alternation in temperature trend in the Nisava River valley and change in periodicity of Mediterranean oscillation was found. [Project of the Serbian Ministry of Education, Science and Technological Development, Grant no. OI176008]
KEYWORDS
PAPER SUBMITTED: 2016-02-01
PAPER REVISED: 2016-03-03
PAPER ACCEPTED: 2016-08-31
PUBLISHED ONLINE: 2016-10-01
DOI REFERENCE: https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI160201229M
CITATION EXPORT: view in browser or download as text file
THERMAL SCIENCE YEAR 2017, VOLUME 21, ISSUE 3, PAGES [1389 - 1398]
REFERENCES
  1. Grinsted, A., et al., Application of the cross wavelet transform and wavelet coherence to geophysical time series, Nonlinear Processes in Geophysics (2004) 11, p 561-566
  2. Sang, YF., A review on the applications of wavelet transform in hydrology time series analysis, Atmospheric Research, Volume 122, (2013), p 8-15.
  3. Sušelj K., Bergant K., Mediterranean Oscillation Index,Geoph. Rese. Abs., Vol. 8, (2006)
  4. Conte, M., et al., The Mediterranean Oscillation, impact on precipitation and hydrology in Italy, Conference on Climate Water, Pub. of the Academy of Finland, Helsinki, 1989 p 121-137.
  5. Palutikof, P., Analysis of Mediterranean climate data: measured and modeled, in Mediterranean Climate: Variability and Trends, (Ed. H. Bolle), Springer, Berlin, 2003. p 125-132
  6. Trigo, R., Relations between variability in the Mediterranean region and mid-latitude variability, in Mediterranean Climate Variability, (Ed. P. Lionello et al.) Elsevier Science, 2006
  7. Maheras, P., Kutiel, H. Spatial and temporal variations in the temperature regime in the Mediterranean and their relationship with circulation during the last century, International Journal of Climatology, vol. 19, Issue 7, (1999) p 745-764
  8. Piervitali, E., et al., Rainfall over the central-western Mediterranean basin in the period 1951 - 1995, Part I: Precipitation trends, Nuovo Cimento, C21, (1998), p 331 - 344,
  9. Burić, D., et al., Relationship between the Precipitation Variability in Montenegro and the Mediterranean Oscillation, Bull. of the Serbian Geographical Society, XCIV,Nо.4 (2014), p 109-120
  10. Dunkeloh A, Jacobeit J. Circulation dynamics of Mediterranean precipitation variability 1948-98. International Journal of Climatology, 23, (2003), p 1843-1866,
  11. Corte-Real J, et al., Large-scale circulation regimes and surface climatic anomalies over the Mediterranean, International Journal of Climatology 15, (1995), p 1135-1150
  12. Gavrilović Lj, Dukić D, Reke Srbije, Zavod za udžbenike, Beograd, Srbija, 2011.
  13. Zhang, Q., et al., Comparison of detrending methods for fluctuation analysis in hydrology, Journal of Hydrology, 400 (2011), p 121-132.
  14. ***, Climate Research Unit, University of East Anglia, crudata.uea.ac.uk/cru/data/moi.
  15. Bloomfield, P., Fourier Analysis of Time Series: An Introduction, Second Edition, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, NJ, USA. 2000
  16. Martić Bursać, N. et al., A Method of Spectral Analysis of Hidrological Time Series on the Example of River Veternica Discharge, Serbian Journal of Geosciences, Vol.1, No.1, (2015), p 85-91.
  17. Pekárová, P., Dynamics of runoff fluctuation of the world and Slovak rivers, (in Slovak), Veda, Bratislava,Slovakia, 2003.
  18. Pekárová, P., et al., Long-term trends and runoff fluctuations of European rivers, IAHS-AISH Publication, 308, (2006), p 520-525.
  19. Pekárová, P., Pekár, J., Multiannual variability of Danube runoff characteristics in Bratislava gauge. Acta Hydrologica Slovaca, 8, 1,(2007), p12-21.
  20. Percival B., Walden T., Wavelet Methods for Time Series Analysis, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. UK, 2000
  21. Torrence, C., Compo, P., A practical guide to wavelet analysis, Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc. 79 (1), (1998), p 61-78.
  22. Torrence, C., Webster, P., Interdecadal Changes in the ESNO Monsoon System, J. Clim., 12, (1999) p 2679-2690.
  23. Kumar, P., Foufoula Georgiou, E., Wavelet analysis for geophysical applications. Rev. Geophys. 35 (4), (1997), p 385-412.
  24. Labat, D., Recent advances in wavelet analyses: part 1. A review of concepts, Journal of Hydrology 314 (1), (2005) p. 275-288.
  25. Labat, D., et al., Recent advances in wavelet analyses: Part 2—Amazon, Parana, Orinoco and Congo discharges time scale variability, Journal of Hydrology 314 (1), (2005) p. 289-311
  26. ***, National Oceanography Centre noc.ac.uk/using-science/crosswavelet-wavelet-coherence.
  27. Yue, S.,et al., Power of the Mann-Kendall and Spearman's rho tests for detecting monotonic trends in hydrological series, Journal of Hydrology, Volume 259,(2002), p 254-271
  28. ***, Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, AR5, www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/ar5/wg1/wg1ar5_spm_final.pdf
  29. Ducić, V., et al., Hiatus in Global Warming - Example of Water Temperature of The Danube River at Bogojevo Gauge (Serbia), Thermal Science, Online First, (2015)
  30. Hurrell J., Decadal Trends in the North Atlantic Oscillation: Regional Temperatures and Precipitation, Science, 269(1995), p 676-679.

© 2017 Society of Thermal Engineers of Serbia. Published by the Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences, Belgrade, Serbia. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International licence