THERMAL SCIENCE

International Scientific Journal

STATISTICAL ANALYSIS OF TEMPERATURE REGIME CHANGE ON THE EXAMPLE OF SOKOBANJA BASIN IN EASTERN SERBIA

ABSTRACT
The changes and oscillations in air temperature during the second half of the 20th and in the early 21st century, have become one of the major concerns of almost all scientific disciplines. Such changes are noticeable both at the local and global level. The objective of this paper is to point out that the changes of this climate element can also be detected at the local level. The research underlying this paper is, in terms of territory, limited to the Sokobanja basin in Eastern Serbia. The analysis relies on the data on air temperature for the period 1946-2012 taken from the Meteorological weather station located in Sokobanja. The obtained data were processed in line with the recommendations of the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). The evidenced statistically significant changes in air temperature were examined using the following statistical tests: Pettit test, Standard Normal Homogeneity test, Buishand range test, and von Neumann test. [Projekat Ministarstva nauke Republike Srbije, br. ОI 176008]
KEYWORDS
PAPER SUBMITTED: 2015-01-19
PAPER REVISED: 2015-01-29
PAPER ACCEPTED: 2015-01-30
PUBLISHED ONLINE: 2015-02-08
DOI REFERENCE: https://doi.org/10.2298/TSCI150119019R
CITATION EXPORT: view in browser or download as text file
THERMAL SCIENCE YEAR 2015, VOLUME 19, ISSUE Supplement 2, PAGES [S323 - S330]
REFERENCES
  1. EEA: Impact's of Europe changing climate -indicator-based assessment. EEA report, (2008), 4-242
  2. Ducić, V., et al., Temperature and precipitation changes in serbia in the second half of the 20th century in the context of global climate change, Zaštita prirode, 60 (2009), 1-2, pp. 641-652 (in Serbian)
  3. Hennessy, K. J., Pittock, A. B., Greenhouse warming and treshold temperature events in Victoria, Australia, Int. J. Climatol, 15 (1995), pp. 591-612
  4. Colombo, A. F., et al., Climate variability and frequency of extreme temperature events for nine sites across Canada, Implications for power usage, J. Clim, 12 (1999), pp. 2490-2502
  5. Tahas, S. V., et al., Analysis of global solar radiation and precipitation trends in Cluj-Napoca, Romania, over the period 1921-2009, Carpathian Journal of Earth and Environmental Sciences, 6 (2011), pp. 289-302
  6. Hobai, R., Analysis of air temperature tendency in the upper basin of Barlad river, Carpathian Journal of Earth and Environmental Sciences, 4 (2009), pp. 75-88
  7. Hauer, E., et al., Trends and anomalies of extreme temperature and precipitation in Northwestern region of Romania. Riscs and catastrophes, (Edit. Victor Sorocovschi, Casa Cărţii de Ştiinţă), Cluj-Napoca, 2003, pp. 85-95
  8. Croitoru, A. E., et al., Change-point analysis for serially correlated summit temperatures in the Romanian Carpathian, Theor. Appl. Climatol., (2011), DOI 10.1007/s00704-011-0508-7
  9. Mihăilă, D., Tănasă, I., Evolution of air temperature in plateau of Suceava, Analele Universităţii "Ştefan Cel Mare" Suceava, Secţiunea Geografie, Anul XIV (2005), pp. 57-68
  10. Radovanović, M., Ducić, V., Temperature variability in Serbia in the second half of the 20th century, Glasnik Srpskog geografskog društva, sv. LXXXIV, (2004), 1, pp. 19-28 (in Serbian)
  11. Rakićević, T., Climatic regionalization of SR Serbia, Geografski institut PMF, Zbornik radova, sv. XXVII (1980), pp. 29-42 (in Serbian)
  12. Pavlović, T., et al., Comparison and Assessment of Electricity Generation Capacity for Different Types of Photovoltaic Solar Plants of 1 Mw in Sokobanja, Serbia, Thermal Science, vol. 15 (2013), 3, pp. 605-618
  13. Milosavljević, D. et al., Assessment Of The Possibilities Of Building Integrated PV Systems Of 1KW Electricity Generation In Some Spa Resorts In Serbia, SYLWAN, 158 (2014), 6, pp. 298-321
  14. Pettitt, A. N., A non-parametric approach to the change-point problem, Applied Statistics, 28 (1979), pp. 126-135
  15. Alexandersson, H., A., Homogeneity test applied to precipitation data, J. of Climatology, 6 (1986), pp. 661-675
  16. Buishand, T. A., Some methods for testing the homoheneity of rainfall data, Journal of Hydrology, 58 (1982), pp. 11-27
  17. Neumann, Von J., Distribution of the ratio of the mean square successive difference to the variance, Ann. Math. Stat., 12 (1941), pp. 367-395
  18. Piticar, A., Ristoiu D., Analysis of air temperature evolution in Northeastern Romania and evidence of warming trend, Carpathian Journal of Earth and Environmental Sciences, 7 (2012), pp. 97-106
  19. Hari, R. E., et al., Consequences of climatic changes for water temperature and brown trout populations in Alpine rivers and streams, Glob. Change Biol., 12 (2006), pp. 10-26
  20. Beaugrand, G., The North Sea regime shift: evidence, causes, mechanisms and consequences, Prog. Oceanogr., 60 (2004), pp. 245-262
  21. Donnelly, A., et al., Response of birds to climatic variability; evidence from the western fringe of Europe. Int. J. Biometeorol., 53 (2009), pp. 211-220
  22. Meehl, G. A., et al., Global Climate Projections. In: Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the 4th Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University Press, United Kingdom and New York, USA, 2007, chapter 10, 748-844
  23. Stocker, T. F., et al., Climate Change 2013., The Physical Science Basis., Contribution of Working Group I to the 5th Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Cambridge University, United Kingdom and New York, , USA, 2013, 1-33

© 2019 Society of Thermal Engineers of Serbia. Published by the Vinča Institute of Nuclear Sciences, Belgrade, Serbia. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs 4.0 International licence